One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. Mandela Barnes. The man leading the charge to unseat Johnson this year is the polar opposite of the millionaire Boomer conservative: Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, a 35-year-old Black former community organizer. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. Independent candidate Joan Beglinger who ended her campaign in September but will still be on the ballot garnered 4% in the poll, while 1% of respondents said they were undecided. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates both the Senate and gubernatorial races as toss-ups. The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider In the states race for governor, Democratic Gov. Only 16 percent had an unfavorable view of the Democratic lieutenant governor, compared with 46 percent who said the same of the GOP senator. That means Barnes' narrow lead is well within the survey's margin of error. IE 11 is not supported. Part of the shift can be attributed to likely independent voters. "That's how close we should assume the race will be, regardless of the specificity of those numbers. Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will become the Democratic Party's nominee to face off against GOP Senator Ron Johnson in November after his top opponents dropped out and endorsed his campaign this weekwith polls suggesting the liberal candidate has a slim advantage. The race between Johnson and Barnes was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Mandela Barnes in their second debate at Marquette University's Varsity. If Barnes were to win, he'd become Wisconsin's first Black senator. Barnes' lead disappeared after Johnson's campaign and Republican groups went on the attack with negative ads. Mandela Barnes were locked in a race that was too close to call early Wednesday. 2016: Johnson (R) +3.4|2010: Johnson (R) +4.9, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,GenericVote|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,Generic Ballot|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, RCP Average:Johnson +3.6RCP Ranking:Toss UpRCP Projection:GOP HoldKey 2022 Races:Governor|Senate|WI-3, 2020:President|WI-32018:Governor|Senate|WI-1|WI-32016:President|Senate|WI-82014:Governor|WI-6|WI-72012:President|Governor (Recall)|Senate|WI-7|WI-82010:Governor|Senate|WI-3|WI-7|WI-8, All Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes Polling Data. The state's other senator, Tammy Baldwin, is a Democrat as well. This week . With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor of . Through late October, super PACs, politically active nonprofit organizations, and other non-candidate groups combined to spend an additional $112.9 million advocating for or against the candidates. The Associated Press calls the race for Johnson at 11:46 AM. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. Johnson's win reaffirmed the Wisconsin GOP's strength in its suburban and exurban heartlands. A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. The CBS News/YouGov poll was released on Sunday. The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with Barnes 46 percent. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. U.S. Senate candidates Mandela Barnes and Ron Johnson sparred over a wide range of issues - everything from decriminalizing marijuana and immigration to the minimum wage, abortion and crime - during their first debate leading up to the 2022 fall midterm election.. Barnes, who in 2018 was elected as lieutenant governor on a ticket with Democratic Gov. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Ninety-three percent of Democrats support Barnes and 96 percent of Republicans support Johnson, while 96 percent of Democrats support Evers and 88 percent of Republicans support Michels. The lieutenant governor joined supporters in Milwaukee at noon to make remarks on the U.S. Senate race. Paul Ryan says he'll support 'anybody but Trump' in the 2024 presidential contest, Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. The bill passed 80-15 with many Democrats and all but one Republican voting "yes." Mandela Barnes joined radical Democrats like David Bowen and Jonathan Brostoff in refusing to protect cops, public defenders, and prosecutors, and their family members. On the other hand, Mandela Barnes said he agreed to be a part of the debate anchored by the Main Street Alliance and the Wisconsin Farmers Union because the group commonly lines up with the democrats. "Barnes is really going to have to execute a strong strategy of defining himself positively and pushing back against an enormous amount of negative campaigning that is already coming his way and will surely only escalate between now and Election Day," Chergosky said. Some ads focused on positions Barnes had taken or statements he had made such as his support for ending cash bail and saying that reducing prison populations is now sexy while others made misleading claims about his tenure as the state's lieutenant governor, like accusing his administration of having paroled hundreds of violent offenders. This race is over," Johnson said in the statement. 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For weeks, Wisconsin Republican Senator Ron Johnson and his allies have been running a set of attack ads against Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes about crime.One ad focuses on violent crime . Sign up now! "In 2016, they were almost all wrong and Ron Johnson pulled off the biggest surprise in Wisconsin Political History," said the statement. While Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes is narrowly preferred over incumbent Ron Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, Johnson's supporters have the enthusiasm. It's looking all but certain that Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic opponent to take on the much-maligned Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson in November. Johnson got a boost from voters'. That's still slightly higher than the 36 percent who view Johnson favorably. After midnight, the gap between Barnes and Johnson closed slightly and the audience in Neenah became less energetic. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in. Johnson did not respond to the Pulse's request to participate in the questionnaire. Barnes is tied with Johnson in the head-to-head, a sign of Barnes' latest strength and indicating serious weakness on the part of the 11-year incumbent. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. It was all to play for Thursday night as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson met Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. Barnes has seen a decline in the polls over recent months after facing a slew of attack ads depicting him as soft on crime. The. The two candidates are scheduled to hold their second and final televised debate on Thursday. But despite the ex-senator leading in most public polling that year, he went on to narrowly lose to Johnson once again. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. US Congress; Getty; Marianne Ayala/Insider, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. That ruling meant Wisconsins near-total abortion ban from 1849 went into effect over the summer. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Johnson, a former plastics executive and political ally of former President Donald Trump, has long tacked to the right in his voting record while representing Wisconsin a swing state that nonetheless retains a robust conservative base. In a possibly positive sign for Barnes, far more respondents to the poll said they viewed Johnson unfavorably. Vote preference includes those who say they are undecided but who say they lean toward a candidate. In the final weeks, Johnson focused on crime in particular, unleashing a barrage of negative ads that highlighted rising crime rates and singling out things Barnes had said about criminal justice reform. The Republicans in both races hold a lead among independent voters, with Michels squeaking out a 1 point lead (44 percent to Evers 43) and Johnson dominating with 51 percent to Barnes 45. Mandela Barnes. The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. The Johnson campaign said the numbers were reflective of a race that was correcting course after Democrats cleared a path for Barnes before the ends of a largely clean primary campaign. Wisconsin Mandela Barnes (D) vs. Ron Johnson (R) What do the House races . Barnes did not officially concede the race Tuesday night or Wednesday morning as he waited for all the votes to be counted. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same of the Democrat. Legal Statement. By comparison, 48 percent of Wisconsinites said they approved of their Democratic governor, and only 45 percent said they disapproved. 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(AP) U.S. Senate Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes got personal in their final debate Thursday before the Nov. 8 election, with each candidate . GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. When results started trickling in around 8:30 p.m. Tuesday, Barnes took an early lead over Johnson, but the Republican slowly closed the gap as more of the state's precincts reported. Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers is a Democrat who won the office in 2018. A previous April survey by Marquette Law School showed that half of Wisconsin's voters did not believe Johnson actually cared about them. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. It's official: Mandela Barnes has the best chance of anyone in this Senate primary to defeat Ron Johnson. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. On two large screens, the audience at the Johnson event quietly watched Fox News election coverage and let out loud groans and boos when Democrats were projected to win other high-profile federal races. A new poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School shows 49 percent of voters support Johnson's reelection to a third term. The 2016 Marquette poll showed a full 30 percent of respondents didn't know enough about Johnson to form a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him. ", Lee said the value of political polling in Wisconsin has become less predictable as the state has become more "deep purple.". The AP called the race after Johnson claimed his win earlier in the morning and other national media outlets such as NBC News,CBS News, and CNN projected Johnson would win. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. Yorkshire Post. Democrat Mandela Barnes and Republican Sen. Ron Johnson sparred over their respective ties to the middle class and their views on crime in the second and possibly final Wisconsin Senate debate. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. This race is over.. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. What it boils down to, according to University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee emeritus professor Mordecai Lee, is "we should all just agree that this is an even race. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case. Barnes has citedformer President Barack Obama as his inspiration for entering politics. But Johnson got a majority of support from voters who thought COVID-19 restrictions in the state were too strict. In the June poll released by Marquette Law School testing each candidate's strength against Johnson, Barnes hits or approaches those benchmarks, while Lasry falls far short of the numbers needed . Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. A Fox News survey of. On Sunday, the Trafalgar Group released the results of a survey of Wisconsin voters conducted between Aug. 22 and Aug. 25. Baldwin was first elected to the Senate in 2012 and took office in January 2013. The margin of error was 4.2 percentage points overall and 4.5 percentage points among likely voters. Mandela Barnes in the U.S. Senate race, according to two new polls. While Barnes quickly became a favorite among Democrats before winning the August primary, Lee said the lieutenant governor is still relatively unknown to the state as a whole. (Last month, the Republican-controlled state Legislatureblocked initial effortsto get that question on the ballot.). Due to a planned power outage on Friday, 1/14, between 8am-1pm PST, some services may be impacted. Sign up now! Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. Lt. Gov. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. Ron Johnson has turned up the volume on the issue of race in his closing message to base voters, whose support will be crucial in his tight contest against Mandela Barnes, who would be the state's . Ukraine News. 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Currently, Wisconsin voters cannot change laws by direct referendum. In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. This year, Johnson is the only incumbent Republican senator running for reelection in a state President Biden won in 2020. "No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted. 2022 Wisconsin Senate Debate: Mandela Barnes vs. Ron Johnson. They pointed to a CBS News poll from over the weekend showing Johnson ahead . Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. Washington Patty Murray (D) vs. Tiffany Smiley (R) 35. Mandela Barnes speaks to supporters during his campaign for U.S. Senate on Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Middleton, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. The three Democrats, who had endorsed Barnes after they had. A CBS News poll in October found that Johnson's views on the 2020 election may be alienating some independents and Republicans who believe Johnson wanted the election overturned. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. We will wait and see what the Wisconsin voters have decided after all their voices are heard," the statement said. The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. Mandela Barnes faced off Thursday in their second debate, clashing over crime and abortion in a series of heated exchanges.. A spokesperson for Johnson's campaign told Wisconsin Public Radio they "don't put much stock in public polls.". He said clerks have been legally free to interpret the term in good faith, drawing on non-binding guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission, its predecessors and advice from attorneys. Senator Ron Johnson 's support appears to be slipping with Wisconsin voters entering the closing months of the state's midterm elections, a new poll says. NBC News projects Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin wins re-election, unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime. Barnes appeared with Lasry and Godlewski as they made their announcements, praising their campaigns. / CBS News. Johnson has compared the rioters to tourists and during a presentation to Milwaukee Rotary Club in early October, Johnson said calling the attack an armed insurrection is inaccurate. Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. "I do believe that this time truth has prevailed over the lies, over the character assassination," Johnson said. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. At the beginning of the election cycle, Johnson was seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents in the U.S. Senate. On the presidential level, Wisconsin has voted for the Democratic nominee in every election from 1988 to 2020 except for 2016, when Trump narrowly defeated former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in the Badger State. A pedestrian walks by a sign in front of a polling location on Tuesday, April 5, 2022, in Milwaukee, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. It continued, labeling Barnes as a "socialist who wants to fundamentally transform America. Mandela Barnes cited a decade-old vote by Sen. Ron Johnson in favor of a balanced budget, but the best suggestion is cuts to law enforcement might have happened down the line as a. But a successful rebrand, as well as unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime and criminal justice issues, appeared to help Johnson's standing among voters. And, that's a little depressing, isn't it? Barnes focused much of his closing message hammering Johnson over his opposition to abortion rights an issue Democrats across the country had hoped would energize their base in the midterms following the Supreme Courts reversal of Roe v. Wade in June. making false or misleading claims about the shots, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors, most expensive election contests in the country, settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum, Bernie Sanders endorses Mandela Barnes for US Senate, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Democratic Lt. Gov. Tony Evers, sought to portray Johnson as a champion of monied interests and pledged to work with lawmakers to enact policies that would benefit working-class families, including an expansion of the child tax credit. In the new poll, registered Wisconsin voters said the issue they were most concerned about was inflation, followed by public schools, gun violence, abortion policy and crime. Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, The Memo: Lightfoot is latest Democrat to fall to anger over crime, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, The shepherd boy, the wolf and the threat to Israeli democracy. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. | Morry Gash/Associated Press. Show us your political mailers! He trails narrowly among White voters, getting a similar share of them that Biden got in 2020. That poll surveyed 756 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 points. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same. Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. As a senator, Johnson co-sponsored theLife at Conception Act enshrining a right to life or the right to life of each born and preborn human person in the Constitution and allowing equal protections at the moment of fertilization. However, he also said during the campaign that he would support a recently offered proposal to create a single-issue referendum that would allow Wisconsin voters to decide on the future of abortion rights in the state. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing, have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates, What we learned from the NBC News Fetterman interview, Midterm elections roundup: Arizona debate debacle, California poll: Homelessness is most urgent issue in the state. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Barnes became Wisconsin's first Black lieutenant governor in 2018 and he would become the state's first Black U.S. senator if he defeats Johnson. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. The Wisconsin Senate candidate Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally on Saturday in Milwaukee. Wisconsin's lieutenant governor, Mandela Barnes, 35, is trying to unseat Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, 67, who was first elected in 2010. Do believe that this time truth has prevailed over the weekend showing Johnson ahead really make up that.! 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